16-03-2022, 08:22 PM
(16-03-2022, 07:21 PM)mikey393 Wrote:(16-03-2022, 06:08 PM)SW4Blue Wrote: On the current numbers I'd predict the bottom four this time will total 143 points at the end of the season. Last year the bottom four totalled 173. Actually it's probably worse for us this time (with the impact on where the play-off cut-off will be), as the fifth & sixth bottom this time are also woeful on their points per game, and even further adrift from last season's. Assuming the propensity to drawn games is similar then you'd expect a large proportion of those "missing" points to be soaked up by the teams at the top, hence my guess.
Anyway, fingers crossed FWIW.
Do you not think that the bottom 4 will pick up more points as they try to escape the trap door?
The main thing is that we need to try to pick up as many points against our rivals as possible.
The bottom four, or more likely one or two may well do better than their current ppg average. At the same two one or two might throw in the towel and do worse. There seem to be relatively (compared to last year) so many poor teams at the foot of the table this year that I doubt that the final total points for the bottom four will get to within 20 of last years. That will have its own effect on where the play-off points total cut-off comes.