09-04-2024, 10:26 AM
(This post was last modified: 09-04-2024, 10:29 AM by TitchfieldBlue.)
(09-04-2024, 10:20 AM)DeepBlue Wrote:(09-04-2024, 08:42 AM)TitchfieldBlue Wrote: The maths is straightforward now.
If Pompey draw at Bolton, we would then need 2 more points to guarantee automatic promotion. If we beat Bolton, we are promoted. If we lose to Bolton, we would would need Bolton or Derby to drop points in one of their remaining games to ensure just one more Pompey win is needed for automatic promotion. Peterborough can currently reach 92 points.
Everyone keeps saying we need one win currently, which is incorrect. We currently need 4 points.
If Derby and Bolton win all their remaining games, Pompey would need 4 points from the remaining games to secure automatic promotion as just one win for us would see us relying on goal difference. You'd expect the teams below us to improve improve difference even further in the coming weeks.
Bolton or Derby dropping points in one of their remaining games would make things a lot easier for us.
I can see the following for Pompey:
Bolton - Loss
Barnsley - Draw
Wigan - Win
Lincoln - Loss
Although those predictions aren't made with much confidence.
The maths is indeed very straightforward so one wonders why you got it wrong.
If we draw at Bolton we only need one more point to guarantee promotion.
You're not very good at this are you? You made yourself look a bit silly here.
If we draw at Bolton and then get another point we are on 92 points.
Peterborough can still get to 92 points and finish above us potentially on goal difference. With their fixtures, Peterborough could win their remaining 6 matches quite easily.
To keep it simple for you, if we draw at Bolton, we would require another 2 points to confirm automatic promotion. Hope that is simple enough for you.